Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.381449 1.597312 1.827918 2.091732 2.384289 2.697887 3.058546
2025-02-16 0.964182 1.254239 1.591867 2.009634 2.508195 3.079593 3.779206
2025-02-23 0.726782 1.054682 1.467155 2.013418 2.706382 3.544389 4.621584
2025-03-02 0.547738 0.883512 1.337954 1.978059 2.834692 3.918981 5.370028
2025-03-09 0.437159 0.777258 1.268852 1.999340 3.021979 4.365777 6.223222
2025-03-16 0.345825 0.677437 1.188434 1.986990 3.152061 4.735289 6.986887
2025-03-23 0.297896 0.634507 1.182033 2.073827 3.418769 5.295379 8.023783
2025-03-30 0.255814 0.591707 1.167346 2.142163 3.657940 5.824260 9.036793
2025-04-06 0.205559 0.522261 1.097518 2.113762 3.746180 6.138557 9.759662
2025-04-13 0.174048 0.481458 1.069378 2.146640 3.925422 6.587561 10.685617
2025-04-20 0.145363 0.439330 1.031856 2.157746 4.067573 6.984253 11.547125
2025-04-27 0.122890 0.405147 1.003510 2.179968 4.225815 7.408377 12.460218
2025-05-04 0.099758 0.363910 0.956952 2.167973 4.331851 7.765600 13.301551
2025-05-11 0.078189 0.319722 0.897225 2.125291 4.383047 8.040322 14.031443
2025-05-18 0.065037 0.294364 0.873387 2.147533 4.546034 8.497418 15.054699
2025-05-25 0.051210 0.261376 0.826332 2.118193 4.614329 8.802978 15.852071
2025-06-01 0.042705 0.242240 0.808085 2.144066 4.781301 9.273320 16.918682
2025-06-08 0.034081 0.218507 0.773976 2.132502 4.877225 9.627888 17.811182
2025-06-15 0.030657 0.213775 0.787922 2.224888 5.171943 10.325438 19.270746
2025-06-22 0.026959 0.206164 0.792828 2.297349 5.431725 10.971534 20.663662
2025-06-29 0.020961 0.184320 0.754101 2.267482 5.491328 11.275452 21.507530
2025-07-06 0.017570 0.173234 0.744123 2.302259 5.678498 11.805397 22.734541
2025-07-13 0.014259 0.160105 0.725344 2.314010 5.819518 12.258062 23.844228